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Echelon Insights predicts that we will see record turnout this election cycle. How might a surge in, say, 2o million new voters this year affect the presidential race in battleground states? “If we’re talking the day after the election about why the polls were wrong,” Sarah warns on today’s episode, “it will be because of the extraordinary turnout,…
 
Still shocked by the grand polling meltdown of 2016, many Americans on both sides of the aisle are convinced that Biden’s double digit national polling lead is inaccurate and that Trump will somehow win the election in a landslide. This theory has three main hypotheses: 1) Trump is such a uniquely divisive candidate that his supporters lie to polls…
 
It’s October 15, 2020, and 12.4 percent of the votes that were cast in the 2016 election have already been cast this election cycle. Sarah and David try to discern through the tea leaves what this means for voter turnout this year. “There’s two different schools of thought here,” Sarah says. “One is that we’re on pace to have record turnout and one…
 
The Senate Judiciary Committee kicked off its confirmation hearings for Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett today with a predictably partisan spin. There were dog whistles from Republicans about religious tests and procedural complaints from Democrats in defense of the Affordable Care Act and against advancing Barrett’s nomination before Novemb…
 
Sen. Kamala Harris and Vice President Mike Pence faced off Wednesday evening for their first and only vice presidential debate. But analysis of the candidates’ performance was disrupted by Trump’s announcement Thursday morning that he will not participate in the October 15 virtual debate against Joe Biden. Is the president bluffing? Or is he simply…
 
Supreme Court oral arguments have resumed via telephone and our podcast hosts are nerding out. The court kicked off today with an interesting denial of cert from the Supreme Court on a case out of Kentucky involving Kim Davis, the county clerk who refused to certify marriage licenses to same-sex couples in 2015 for religious reasons. “This petition…
 
How will Amy Coney Barrett shake things up on the bench if she is confirmed by the Senate before November 3? “Amy Coney Barrett will not be as revolutionary as the left fears or the right wishes,” Sarah argues, “Because no justice really is, because it’s one vote.” On today’s episode, David and Sarah address the hysteria surrounding her upcoming Se…
 
Several new polls were released over the weekend and Donald Trump is still trailing Joe Biden by roughly 7 to 10 points, depending where you look. Despite Biden’s steady lead, bad takes abound in the journalism world. “Here’s what happens when a race is not particularly close on the numbers,” Sarah explains. “People in the media try to make it more…
 
A Louisville grand jury on Wednesday indicted one officer in connection with the March 13 police raid that took Breonna Taylor’s life. The grand jury declined to charge the two officers who fired directly at Breonna Taylor and her boyfriend that evening, instead only charging the third officer, who was outside and fired indiscriminately, with wanto…
 
Ruth Bader Ginsburg died on Friday, rocking the nation and setting the stage for a blistering Senate confirmation fight should the Senate Judiciary Committee go through with the hearing process before the election. Today, our podcast hosts walk us through the history of SCOTUS vacancies, reflect on the legendary friendship between Justice Ruth Bade…
 
After reflecting on the best and worst parts of our country’s founding document for Constitution Day, David and Sarah dive into Attorney General Bill Barr’s Constitution Day address at Hillsdale College yesterday, in which he defended political judgment in bringing prosecutions and railed against federal prosecutors’ propensity to punish as much mi…
 
For the month of August, the Biden campaign outraised the Trump campaign by a whopping $150 million. (Biden raked in $360 million last month compared to Trump’s $210 million). As stark as this fundraising difference may be, is there any reason to believe it will be meaningful in the long run?A lot of this money will go toward television ads at this…
 
Last week, President Trump encouraged North Carolina voters to test their state's election security. David and Sarah discuss how, exactly, someone commits voter fraud, and what voters need to know as we close in on this November's election. But that's not all: Sarah gives us the latest on the state of the race and how the Trump campaign lost its ca…
 
There’s a bit of post-2016 election PTSD among American political strategists, where any slight uptick in Trump’s polling numbers is perceived as an emergency situation for the Biden campaign. But despite the almost constant news cycle turbulence in American politics that would have caused big swings in a normal presidential election, the polls hav…
 
Ever since its humble beginnings in March 2016, The Babylon Bee—a Christian, conservative version of The Onion—has been a godsend for Americans who have become worn out by news outlets that take themselves too seriously. From its theological inside jokes about the prosperity gospel to its long-standing feuds with Snopes and CNN, the Bee has made it…
 
Violent riots escalated quicky in Kenosha, Wisconsin, after the police shooting of Jacob Blake. . On Wednesday, 17-year-old Kyle Rittenhouse was charged with first-degree homicide for the shooting deaths of two people in Kenosha on Tuesday evening. Sarah and David break down what we know and don’t know about the Jacob Blake shooting on today’s epis…
 
Today our hosts are joined by Phill Drobnick, head coach of the Olympic curling team, for some hot takes about the sport that inspired Sarah’s new campaign newsletter The Sweep. Listeners who are unfamiliar with this sport, which gets even passing national coverage only during Winter Olympics years, might be wondering about curling’s origins. “It s…
 
Former Trump advisor Steve Bannon was arrested Thursday—along with Brian Kolfage, Andrew Badolato, and Timothy Shea—after federal prosecutors discovered they defrauded donors involved with the “We Build the Wall” campaign, a GoFundMe that shored up $25 million in donations since its inception in 2018. The unsealed federal indictment is damning, and…
 
The 9th Circuit recently heard an appeal from a challenge to the state of California’s ban on large capacity magazines (in this case, any magazine that holds 10 or more rounds). California didn’t just ban the sale of these magazines, it banned their transfer, importation, and outright possession in the state. The 9th Circuit ended up striking down …
 
In 2017, an anonymous individual named “Q” began posting on a public messaging board called 4chan about “Pizzagate,” a conspiracy theory alleging that a restaurant called Comet Ping Pong was really an underground child sex trafficking ring run by deep state political elites. Q quickly gained acclaim online after he continued posting unsubstantiated…
 
How realistic is the SpaceX dream to get to Mars? What does the latest scientific literature have to say about supernovae? Is there intelligent life in the universe? Today, Sarah and David are joined by Atlantic staff writer Marina Koren for a deep dive into all things space. Hear everything there is to know about the space race between Elon Musk a…
 
People who watch and comment on politics do so very differently than campaign operatives do. Campaigns use voter scores and voter modeling—which is essentially “Moneyball” for politics—to gauge which voters are worth spending money on. As Sarah explains: “It’s a quadrant: on the y axis you have who you’re going to vote for, and on the x axis, you h…
 
Rewind millions of years and a dinosaur-killing asteroid is racing toward Earth at breakneck speed. But what exactly happened in the immediate aftermath of this event? Which species survived and which ones were met with instantaneous extinction? In a much-needed break from today’s partisan political climate, David and Sarah are joined by Steve Brus…
 
The D.C. Circuit has decided to hear the Michael Flynn debacle en banc. For the meantime, as Sarah reminds us on today’s episode, “Michael Flynn seems to be getting some extra justice that a lot of criminal defendants would be really happy to get.” If it goes back to the district court, would Trump pardon him? Our podcasters weigh in. On Thursday m…
 
Our esteemed podcast host Sarah Isgur launched her new Dispatch newsletter called “The Sweep” today, in which she broke down the effectiveness of the new presidential campaigns ads. Conclusion? Biden’s new ads are strategically boring to offset his opponent’s predictable unpredictability, whereas Trump’s play up the anarchy of the radical left. As …
 
A federal judge ordered the release of Trump’s former attorney Michael Cohen from prison on Thursday. On July 9, Cohen and his lawyer went into the U.S. Probation Office in Manhattan to transition from furlough to home confinement. But instead Cohen was arrested by three U.S. Marshals and brought back to prison. Why did this happen? David and Sarah…
 
The 2019-2020 Supreme Court term was quite the spectacle: the court canceled its March and April argument sessions, held oral arguments by telephone for the first time in May, and stretched its opinion announcements into July for the first time in many years. The term was packed with several blockbuster cases and ended with an announcement from Jus…
 
After a momentous term at the Supreme Court, what are we to make of it all? Josh Blackman, associate professor of law at the South Texas College of Law Houston, joins David and Sarah to help us all understand: Roberts' role at the center of the Court, Gorsuch and textualism, and Kagan's growing influence. David, Sarah, and Josh cover it all. Show N…
 
With Joe Biden’s popularity rising in battleground states (according to several recent polls), Democratic lobbyists and party officials are urging the presidential candidate to try and win over purple and even conservative-leaning states like Georgia and Texas. But most of his advisors are urging a more conservative path, encouraging him to focus o…
 
The Supreme Court wrapped up its term today with an opinion on what counts as American Indian tribal lands and two related cases about the president’s financial records. In Gorsuch’s majority opinion in McGirt v. Oklahoma, the court found that Congress’ 19th century promise to give large swaths of Eastern Oklahoma to the Muscogee (Creek) tribe stil…
 
The Supreme Court has released two more religious liberty rulings into the world. Our Lady of Guadalupe School v. Morrissey Berru ended up being a blow to employment discrimination laws in favor of First Amendment religious liberty concerns. In Little Sisters of the Poor, the Court upheld a regulation allowing employers with religious objections to…
 
As we near the end of another Supreme Court term, speculation abounds over a Court retirement. Would the resulting nomination battle be more or less contentious than the appointment of Justice Kavanaugh? David and Sarah answer this thought experiment while also touching on the implications this scenario would have on the 2020 election. They also br…
 
The Supreme Court denies cert to an abortion case, grants cert to a case over Mueller's secret evidence, and the Biden and Trump campaigns are lawyering up for 2020's final act. David and Sarah have thoughts. Show Notes: -Declan’s Dispatch profile on Tim Scott -Hill v. Colorado -June Medical Services v. Russo -Masterpiece Cakeshop Ltd. v. Colorado …
 
Espinoza is finally here, and David and Sarah are here for a proper deep dive into the Supreme Court's decision. Plus their reflections on the legal and political implications of the court's June Medical ruling. Show Notes: -Supreme Court's Espinoza ruling -Conservative groups see abortion ruling as catalyst for reelecting Trump -The Chief Justices…
 
David and Sarah discuss another big day at the Supreme Court, from the court's decision to strike down a Louisiana abortion law to its ruling on the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Show Notes: -Our conversation with Louisiana's solicitor general -Supreme Court's Louisiana abortion ruling -Supreme Court's CFPB ruling -David's Sunday newsletter…
 
David and Sarah discuss the president's rally in Tulsa, the firing of the U.S. attorney in New York, the lawsuit over John Bolton's book, and they process last week's Supreme Court decisions. Show Notes: -David's Sunday newsletter -Drew Griffin Twitter thread on Tulsa rally -28 U.S. Code § 546. Vacancies -Barr's statement on on the nomination of Ja…
 
David and Sarah discuss the Supreme Court's ruling that blocks the Trump administration from ending DACA for now, return to their discussion over the Title VII ruling, and finish with the legal fight over John Bolton's book. Show Notes: -Supreme Court DACA ruling -Cass Sunstein on Gorsuch Title VII opinion -Atlanta Journal-Constitution piece on Bos…
 
The Supreme Court declined to take up new cases dealing with gun rights and qualified immunity. The court ruled that federal anti-discrimination laws protect gay and transgender employees. Lines are drawn on originalism vs. textualism. David and Sarah have thoughts. Show Notes: -Supreme Court cert denials -Supreme Court Bostock opinion -Sarah's gui…
 
It's Brisket Eve and David and Sarah are celebrating by diving into the latest polls on the protests around the country, the legal weeds of Confederate monuments, and answer the question, why does the rule against perpetuities get the people going? But the festivities don't end there, there's the Michael Flynn amicus curiae, Tom Cotton, and Gone wi…
 
David and Sarah discuss calls by protesters to "defund the police," ideas to reform police departments from no-knock raids to police unions, incorporation doctrine, and the miniseries 'Waco.' Show Notes: -David's Sunday newsletter -There’s Never Been a Better Time to Abolish Qualified Immunity -Justice Department Waco report…
 
David and Sarah discuss the stunning critique of the president from James Mattis, the events of the last 24 hours from Mark Esper breaking with the president to Tom Cotton's op-ed, they then breakdown the charges against the police officer who had his knee on the neck of George Floyd, and end with their thoughts on 'The Last Dance.' Show Notes: -Ja…
 
David and Sarah discuss the latest news out of the Supreme Court including the court denying a California church's lockdown challenge, Rep. Justin Amash's plan to introduce legislation to end qualified immunity for police officers, Sen. Tom Cotton's call to invoke the Insurrection Act, the president's call to label ANTIFA a terrorist organization, …
 
The president has a new social media executive order. What happens if Trump loses in November, but doesn't want to leave? Qualified immunity and the Fourth Amendment in the context of the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis. House of Representatives allows proxy voting for the first time this week. And a Central Park video sparks a national conver…
 
David and Sarah discuss the growing partisan divide over the handling of the coronavirus pandemic, the legal fights over church openings, Rachel Maddow's SLAPP lawsuit victory, and the pros and cons of going to law school. Show Notes: -Harvard false positive/negative rates -Reuters R vs. D county study -The Public's Judgement of Their State's Perfo…
 
David and Sarah finish their preview of a number of upcoming Supreme Court decisions from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to DACA and the Title VII cases. The two also discuss the debate over moves to expand vote by mail, and the new Hulu miniseries Mrs. America. Show Notes: -Texas vote by mail lawsuit -A Guide To the 10 Biggest Supreme Co…
 
David and Sarah discuss the end of Rep. Justin Amash's short-lived presidential bid, preview a number of upcoming Supreme Court decisions from Little Sisters of the Poor to the Blaine Amendment case, and the New York Times column taking a closer look at Ronan Farrow. Show Notes: -The agonizing story of Tara Reade -A Guide To the 10 Biggest Supreme …
 
David and Sarah discuss 'unmasking' and Michael Flynn, Supreme Court oral arguments over the president's financial records and "faithless electors," and Wisconsin administrative law. Show Notes: -The Flynn case isn’t over until the judge says it’s over -Transcript of Michael Flynn sentencing proceedings -Trump v. Vance oral argument transcript -Tru…
 
The Supreme Court hears oral arguments in Our Lady of Guadalupe School v. Morrissey-Berru. Secretary Betsy DeVos releases new regulations to overhaul Title IX. New details in the shooting death of Ahmaud Arbery. The Justice Department drops its criminal case against Michael Flynn. David and Sarah have thoughts. Show Notes: -Our Lady of Guadalupe Sc…
 
Rep. Justin Amash of Michigan joins David and Sarah to discuss his announcement that he is exploring a presidential run as a candidate of the Libertarian Party. David and Sarah then turn to the shooting death of Ahmaud Arbery, a 25-year-old black man, in a South Georgia neighborhood. Show Notes: -A Vigilante Killing in Georgia…
 
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