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Tony Roth, chief investment officer, Wilmington Trust Investment Advisors, Inc, the investment advisory arm of M&T Bank, asks—and answers—the questions that are top of mind for today’s investors. During each episode, Tony and a special guest provide listeners with insights on unfolding market, economic, and other evolving trends, and a window into how client portfolios are being positioned in the face of ongoing uncertainty.
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American Monetary Association

Jason Hartman

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The American Monetary Association is a non-profit venture funded by The Jason Hartman Foundation that is dedicated to educating people about the practical effects of monetary policy and government actions on inflation, deflation and freedom. Our goal is to help people prosper in the midst of uncertain economic times. The American Monetary Association believes that a new and innovative understanding of wealth, value, business and investment is necessary to thrive in the new reality of big gov ...
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show series
 
As artificial intelligence technologies grow, the importance of safeguarding your information can become more critical. Listen as Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth and James Kaplan, partner and chief technology officer of McKinsey’s Enterprise Technology practice discuss how you can use AI to secure yourself, and how to stay protected from it.…
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Megan Gorman, author of "All the President's Money," explores the financial habits of US presidents throughout history. Gorman, a financial advisor, tax attorney, and wealth manager, discusses the presidents' varying approaches to money management, from frugal to extravagant. She also explores the historical context of each president's financial de…
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Jason and Robert Helms discuss the recent increase in mortgage refinancing activity and the ongoing housing shortage, its impact on the real estate market, and potential solutions for affordable housing. They also explore emerging real estate opportunities, such as investing in high-demand, low-supply markets and the potential of parking lots as an…
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Real estate investor Trey Taylor advocates for single-family homes as a stable, long-term investment. He emphasizes financial prudence, focusing on properties generating rental income that exceeds expenses. While acknowledging economic challenges like rising interest rates, Taylor remains optimistic about the housing market's resilience. His leader…
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The Dollar Milkshake Theory, proposed by Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, predicts a surge in the US dollar's value compared to other currencies. This is due to the US's strong financial system, deep markets, and the dominance of the dollar in global transactions, like oil purchases. When a global debt crisis strikes, countries will scramble for …
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In this episode of "Capital Considerations," Tony is joined by Chief Economist Luke Tilley and Head of Investment Strategy Megan Shue to reflect on the surprises of the first half of 2024—particularly around inflation and economic growth—and project their cautiously optimistic market and economic expectations through the end of the year. For more i…
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Jason welcomes Ivor Cummins, author of "Eat Rich, Live Long!", who transitioned from corporate problem-solving to investigating food supply corruption. He shared a conference stage with Jason Hartman, discussing elite class agendas. Cummins, a biochemical engineer, criticized the handling of COVID-19, comparing it to a severe flu. He believes media…
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Jason welcomes back Lynette Zang from Zang Enterprises, highlighting her expertise in the economy, sound money, and precious metals. They discuss the recent surge in gold prices, attributed to global central banks' increased gold purchases, despite market manipulation efforts to suppress it. Zang explains that rising gold prices indicate failing cu…
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Why is it important to stay focused on the data in order to make informed investment decisions? Listen as Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth speaks again with Shehzad Qazi from China Beige Book about the challenges the Chinese economy is facing. They examine three obstacles: global supply-chain dynamics; the struggle to boost domestic consumption a…
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Jason welcomes Catherine Austin Fitts, of the Solari Report back to his show after nearly eight years. Catherine, served as Assistant Secretary of Housing under George H.W. Bush. They discuss the disappearance of trillions of dollars from federal budgets, starting in the mid-90s and escalating over the years. By 2001, $4 trillion was unaccounted fo…
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Jason and Sean O'Toole of PropertyRadar.com discuss the current state of the real estate market, focusing on inventory trends, the impact of high interest rates, and the value of real estate over price. They also explore the potential for price drops, the influence of technological advancements on prices, and the challenges of rising housing costs.…
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Jason introduces Sahala Moshsin and her book "Paper Soldiers: How the Weaponization of the Dollar Changed the World Order" and discusses the impact of economic sanctions, particularly those imposed on Russia. They also explore the challenges faced by countries trying to work around the US dollar's global dominance, the mounting debt and its implica…
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With cryptocurrencies—and Bitcoin (BTC) in particular—back in the news and driving markets, Tony sat down with portfolio manager Jason Lee to discuss hot topics such as, what is BTC “halving” and why is it important; what the differences are between owning spot BTC exchange-traded funds vs. owning BTC directly; and the challenges BTC confronts in b…
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Jason and Lance Lambert finish their discussion as they explore the "lock-in effect" caused by historically low mortgage rates. They highlight the significant impact on home sales and turnover rates in the real estate market, with a 57% reduction in home sales due to fixed-rate mortgage holders unwilling to give up their low-interest loans. They al…
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Lance Lambert, co-founder of Resi Club, discusses the real estate market's nuances with host Jason Hartman. Lambert highlights the tight resale market, down 30-35% from pre-pandemic levels in 2019, noting that despite this, 2019 wasn't a buyer's market. Affordability strains persist, especially in areas like Connecticut, impacted by the "donut effe…
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Jason welcomes real estate analyst Rick Sharga. Rick discusses the housing market and economic trends. Despite concerns of a crash, he suggests a slow period with modest price increases rather than a downturn. He dismisses crash predictions, highlighting historical data showing home prices generally rise during recessions. Sharga addresses factors …
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Jason and Paul Moore delve into the current state of commercial real estate, focusing on multifamily, office, RV and mobile home markets. They discuss the rise of rescue capital, which assists struggling deals, particularly in multifamily, where many properties are overpriced. They explore how office markets may never fully recover due to remote wo…
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Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth, Head of Investment Strategy Meghan Shue, and Chief Economist Luke Tilley discuss the twists and turns of the market and economy while keeping their eyes peeled for opportunities in the face of persistent obstacles, such as inflation. Discover why they believe that although equity values may seem fairly priced, th…
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Jason and Mark Moss delve into the media landscape’s sensationalism and fear-mongering, particularly in financial spaces. Moss criticizes analysts like Harry Dent, noting their linear thinking and failure to account for the changing dynamics post-2008 crisis. Moss predicts continued government intervention to prop up markets, leading to prolonged d…
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We are revisiting a previous episode of Capital Considerations where I explored the intersection of art and finance with Charlie Banta, former board president of the Buffalo AKG Art Museum. During our discussion, we spoke about the intricacies of investing in art, how certain high-value assets can appreciate in value long term, and the possibility …
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Jason welcomes Stephen M.R. Covey as they discuss his book "The Speed of Trust." In business, cultivating trust is key for successful deals and relationships. The principle of "win-win or no deal" emphasizes fair collaboration, where both parties benefit. Trust fosters enduring relationships, enabling faster, more efficient cooperation. Smart trust…
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Today Jason welcomes YouTube influencer Kevin Paffrath a.k.a. Meet Kevin. In this interview with Kevin, conducted aboard his private jet, he shares insights on the economy, inflation, and investment strategies. Kevin discusses the aftermath of recent global events like the pandemic and geopolitical tensions, foreseeing prolonged economic effects. H…
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Jason welcomes back guest Martin Armstrong, a renowned economic forecaster. The conversation touches on Armstrong’s background, experiences in the financial industry, and his computer-driven approach to analysis. Armstrong’s economic confidence model predicts a peak on May 7th, signaling a shift towards a recession, civil unrest, and international …
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Discover the fascinating history behind the influential Laffer curve with the renowned economist #ArthurLaffer. This curve played a pivotal role in the Reagan revolution, transforming global economics. Dive into the concept that excess taxation can hinder government revenue, unraveling the counterintuitive nature of economics. Join the Empowered In…
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Jason welcomes Mike Maloney. He talks about his book "The Great Gold and Silver Rush of the 20th Century," and presents a chart showing the price of a can of Campbell's soup under the gold standard from 1895 to 2025. Jason also introduced the Hartman Comparison Index and the concept of pricing items in commodities. Mike and Jason discuss the unreal…
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Jason welcomes Joshua Simon, founder of Simon Commercial Real Estate, as they discuss the state of commercial real estate. Josh highlights the strength of retail, especially in open-air strip centers and grocery-anchored spaces. Simon emphasized the retail renaissance, citing low vacancy rates and increased demand. Industrial properties faced chall…
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Jason talks about the importance of understanding the relationship between household real estate value, mortgage debt, and GDP. The presented chart indicates increased equity and decreased mortgage debt as a percentage of GDP, highlighting a more stable housing market. He touches on the benefits of leveraging properties and he analyzes a chart on m…
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Jason discusses the topic of decentralized finance (defi) and its potential advantages in the cryptocurrency world. He also touches on the issue of the US housing shortage and how it presents opportunities for real estate investors. Additionally, Jason highlights the benefits of joining the “Fire Your Managers” program and announced an upcoming Emp…
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During a recent event in New York City Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth, Head of Investment Strategy Meghan Shue, and Chief Economist Luke Tilley discussed their 2024 Capital Markets Forecast, the team's economic and investment outlook for the year ahead. During the in-depth discussion, which was moderated by CNBC's Sue Herera, they shared their …
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Jason welcomes Selma Hepp, the Chief Economist of Core Logic. They discuss the challenging state of the real estate market and noted that the market was facing issues due to rising mortgage rates, which led to a decline in transactions and mortgage refinances. Additionally, she highlighted that existing homeowners were benefiting from this situatio…
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Jason welcomes Gretchen Morgenson as they discuss how private equity’s surge into single-family homes is reshaping urban landscapes and pricing out regular investors and first-time home buyers. They highlight concerns about these firms prioritizing profit over property maintenance, creating a semi-monopoly in the market. The impact stems from massi…
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Jason discusses the state of the economy, focusing on the role of the Federal Reserve and potential supply chain issues. He also shared his opinion on the strength of the US dollar and Argentina’s decision to adopt it. Towards the end, Jason addressed the issue of inflation and its steady fall since June of the previous year. He also discussed chan…
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Jason talks about the resilient real estate market as the cost of money decreases and housing affordability improves. With mortgage rates dropping and the promise of increased affordability by the Fed, he anticipates significant price increases in the low-inventory market. Highlighting the 700,000-home deficit compared to normal inventory, Jason em…
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Today Jason talks about “shadow demand” in the housing market. He emphasizes the impact of demographics, particularly the 25 to 34 age group, where about 16% are still living at home, representing untapped demand. With 11 million potential homebuyers in this category, Jason explores the dynamics of supply and demand, debunking predictions of a loom…
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Jason discusses the impact of mortgage status on the US housing market and wealth distribution, highlighting the growing wealth gap and the formation of two socioeconomic classes due to approximately 40% of US homeowners not having a mortgage. He also touched on the performance of cyclical markets, particularly in luxury markets in Miami, New York,…
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Are you looking to add value to your portfolio through nontraditional means? Chief Investment Officer, Tony Roth, explores the fascinating intersection of art and finance with special guest Charlie Banta. Listen as they explore the intricacies of investing in art and discuss the factors that make certain pieces rise in value over time. The conversa…
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As the world grapples with climate change and the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, many ask if EVs are a promising solution? Listen as Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth and Corey Cantor, electric vehicle associate at BloombergNEF, discuss the lifecycle analysis of EVs, from battery production to charging sources. They also delve into inves…
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Jason interviewed Melody Wright, a housing analyst and strategist, about the housing market. Melody shared her experience in the mortgage industry and her transition into real estate technology. They discussed her pessimistic outlook on the housing market due to issues like inventory shortage, short-term rental properties, and ‘shadow leverage’. Me…
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With the recent stressors on the stock market, Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth, Chief Economist Luke Tilley, and Head of Investment Strategy Meghan Shue reflect on the tumultuous months leading up to our discussion and put into context the crucial factors shaping the landscape for the fourth quarter and beyond, counting down to Election Day 2024…
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In this episode of Capital Considerations, Tony Roth discusses the crucial topic of cybersecurity with Eric Trexler, senior vice president at Palo Alto Networks. Together they shed light on the ever-evolving threats that individuals and businesses face in the digital age. Should two-factor authentication and password management be commonplace and w…
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[REVISIT] We understand that our emotions and impulses dictate the choices we make. Everything from what we buy at the supermarket, to the car we drive, to how we invest. We are revisiting a previous episode where I spoke with Dr. Stephen Shu, Professor of Practice of Behavioral Economics at Cornell Dyson School of Applied Economics & Management, t…
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Jason welcomes back to the show Joseph Brown of Heresy financial as they discuss the global conflicts, the emotional detachment of Americans from these events, and the potential dangers of policymakers’ decisions. They highlighted the role of profit in perpetuating war and concluded with a cautionary note about the potential for ongoing conflict if…
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In this episode, Jason interviews Mike Zlotnik from the Tempo Family of Funds https://tempofunding.com/ to gain insights into the current state of the real estate market. Mike discusses the impact of high-interest rates on commercial and residential properties, particularly in the retail and office space sectors. He mentions that transaction volume…
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From smartphones to supercomputers, and automobiles to advanced medical devices, semiconductors are at the heart of it all. To introduce us to the world of semiconductors, the power behind modern technology including artificial intelligence, Tony welcomes Dr. Mark Lundstrum, distinguished professor and chief semiconductor officer at Purdue Universi…
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Jason Welcomes Kerry Lutz of https://www.financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ They briefly talk about Jason's 4 year legal battle to clear his name, big tech censorships, the changing landscape of CBDCs and crypto. They continue talking about the current state of the economy and the financial crisis of 2008, the recent banking debacle and how one can take…
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What does living longer mean for you, the economy, and the planet? In this eye-opening episode, CIO Tony Roth and Professor Andrew Scott, renowned economist and co-author of The 100-Year Life delve into the fascinating topic of longevity and discuss how longer lifespans are reshaping retirement, health care, and the very fabric of our societies.…
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[REVISIT] With summer upon us, and many of us enjoying any number of water-related activities, it is a good time to reflect upon the important role oceans play in our lives and the global economy. For these reasons, we are revisiting a previously released episode. In a “blue economy,” a sustainable marine environment serves to advance science and t…
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Today Jason's finishes his interview with the FED GUY, Joseph Wang as he gives you a peek into some of the inner workings of the Federal Reserve. You can also purchase his book Central Banking 101 HERE. Please note that the views in this book do not necessarily reflect those of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System. And…
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Artificial intelligence is a catalyst for disruptive innovation across various sectors. In this episode, CIO Tony Roth and his esteemed guest, Rudina Seseri, founder and Managing Partner of Glasswing Ventures take a deep dive into the AI landscape. They explore its unique challenges, promising ventures, and burgeoning investment opportunities.…
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Today, Jason touches briefly on the housing inventory market. In this day and age, the government essentially have made building entry-level homes illegal, given the rules and regulations coupled with supply chain and labor issues! Watch more content from Jason on his YouTube Channel today! Central banking is magic. With a few words, the Fed can li…
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