Wednesday January 15: AI Deep Dive into the Economy.

Binary Bulls & Bears: Your daily dose of AI-driven market insights

AI doesn't care the markets are up. It would rather talk about:
The US economy is considered strong as long as stocks keep rising and deficits increase1. However, if those trends reverse, it could be detrimental1.

Nuclear energy is gaining attention as a solution for growing energy demands, leading to increased investment opportunities in the sector12. The VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR) provides exposure to the nuclear energy value chain

The growth of US federal debt has exploded, while the amount of price-insensitive buyers of US treasuries is also a factor

There are indications of stealth liquidity injections, which could benefit assets like gold and Bitcoin

The unfunded liabilities of the government are a concern, and it's difficult to measure unfunded assets

There is discussion about the US debt-to-GDP ratio, which has spiked and remains high. Some believe the US is already beyond a point of no return from a social aspect

Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) is being discussed, with a debate scheduled between proponents and opponents of the theory

Inflation is expected to remain sticky, and there's a discrepancy between soft and hard data. There are concerns that the Fed may need to hike rates to tame inflation

The bond market has seen a consecutive rise in 10-year bond yields. There's uncertainty about whether the market is pricing in a stronger economy for longer or a greater fiscal premium.

There's uncertainty around the incoming Trump administration's economic policies, particularly regarding tariffs. There's a possibility of increased tariffs and the creation of a new agency for external revenue.

Bank earnings are being closely watched, with focus on net interest income and the impact of potential rate cuts. Banks are also anticipating lighter regulation under the new administration.

JPMorgan Chase had a record-setting profit in the last quarter, while Goldman Sachs also had a strong trading performance.

The tech sector is facing increased competition, especially in AI chips, where Nvidia is dominant but faces challenges from AMD, Intel, Broadcom, and Marvell

There's a debate about whether AI spending is translating into revenue growth.

The market is experiencing a rally in stocks, particularly in tech, following a cooler-than-expected CPI report.

Bond yields have dropped in reaction to the CPI data.

Some believe that the Fed will cut rates in 2025, while others anticipate no rate cuts44.

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