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Is the Harris Campaign in a Vibe Emergency? The Jewish Vote. The Economy Puzzle. (with Karol Markowicz and JD Durkin)
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The campaign known for booming vibes has hit a recession.
None of Kamala Harris’ polls in the Rustbelt have increased in October. Some averages are verging on the dreaded 47% line.
That's bad news. Donald Trump is a hard capped 48 % candidate, but you can count on that 48% showing up.
What’s more? Other indicators are pointing the wrong direction for Coconut Hive.
Nate Silver on his Silver Bulletin Substack has the race back to a 50% tossup.
Think what you will about the prediction markets, but Polymarket money is beginning to pile on a Trump victory.
Harris ‘24 knows they need a vibe shift and so they will take a risk! Harris will do an interview with Fox News today. This decision is being hailed as bold and it is.
But it’s also a massive risk.
Kamala has never faced an adversarial interview in her career. Not in California, not in DC, not in her 2019 campaign. This is a big stage to experiment on.
Will it pay off?
We discuss that and so much more…
Karol’s Substack on the Jewish vote in 2024.
JD Durkin LIVE FROM THE NYSE FLOOR on the economy.
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