SI295: Trend Followers - The Unwanted Party Guests? ft. Nick Baltas

Top Traders Unplugged

Together with Nick Baltas, we dive into trading signal direction and discuss if signal direction always trump signal strength in portfolio construction, based on CFM’s paper on Agnostic Risk Parity. Baltas also explains why allocating risk to where opportunity lies is prudent as well as why trend following is a powerful tool to achieve a broad risk allocation. Based on Baltas’ recent paper in the Financial Times, we also discuss equity momentum and why trend followers might be the “unwanted guests at the party”.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:52 - What has been on our radar recently?

12:36 - Industry performance update - how is May so far?

15:45 - New Ultimate Guide out now...How to get your Free copy!

16:38 - Q1, Peter: Should signal direction always trump signal strength in portfolio construction?

27:39 - Q1.1 Peter: Is it reasonable to aim for broadly equal risk allocations across different asset classes?

35:19 - Q1.2 Peter: If you were an institutional investor with an ultra-long time horizon, a stomach for short-term volatility and a mandate to deliver the highest possible CAGR over the long-term, how much of your portfolio would you allocate to systematic trend-following?

39:22 - Q1.3 Peter: Do you agree with Anthony Todd's description of trend alpha coming in bursts?

46:54 - Discussing Nick's paper in the Financial Times

57:48 - What kind of party guest would a trend follower be?

59:09 - Thanks for listening

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