S2 E32: Back to school: interest rates, small caps, the election, and the impact on your portfolio
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Watch this full episode on YouTube here!
In this episode of Blue Chip Now, hosts Daniel Dusina (CFA®), Matt Mondoux (CFA®, CMT, CFP®), and Dan Seder (CFA®, CMT, CFP®) explore the latest market trends and what’s driving current market movements. They delve into the impact of interest rates, the yen carry trade, and the evolving economic landscape, including an analysis of small-cap and large-cap stocks. The team also discusses the implications of the upcoming U.S. presidential election for the markets and what investors should consider during these uncertain times. Tune in to learn how sentiment and broader economic conditions might influence your investment decisions. Key Points From This Episode:
[00:01:07] Start
[00:01:07] Introduction to market returns and asset class performance.
[00:02:34] Factors contributing to market drops, including labor market data and the yen carry trade.
[00:03:54] Explanation of the yen carry trade and its influence on August’s market moves.
[00:05:00] Market sentiment's role in influencing investment behaviors.
[00:06:22] The impact of extreme market sentiment on timing investment decisions.
[00:09:08] Analysis of U.S. market recovery trends and the Federal Reserve's impact.
[00:12:54] Powell's approach to communicating interest rate policies and market reactions.
[00:14:40] Influence of interest rates on “bond proxy” sectors like utilities and real estate.
[00:16:31] Small caps vs. large caps performance in various interest rate environments.
[00:20:18] Best times to invest in small caps: during rate-cutting cycles.
[00:22:02] Discussion on the U.S. presidential election implications for market volatility.
[00:23:11] How election outcomes influence market sentiment and stock performance.
[00:24:47] The significance of congressional gridlock on market expectations.
[00:26:31] The role of CEOs in maintaining company performance amid political and economic changes.
Links: Blue Chip Partners Matt Mondoux on LinkedIn Dan Seder on LinkedIn Daniel Dusina on LinkedIn Tags: Market Analysis, Interest Rates, Federal Reserve Policy, Market Sentiment, Yen Carry Trade, U.S. Presidential Election, Stock Market Volatility, Small Cap vs. Large Cap, Investment Strategy, Economic Data, Gridlock in Congress, Powell's Interest Rate Remarks, Asset Class Performance, CEO Leadership, Investor Behavior
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